Compare Sora Kuma and Sebastian | AoE Tournament Elo

Career Comparison

Team

Feb 2020

Competitive Since

Mar 2021

57

Tournaments

63

133

Series

206

2245

World #22

Current Elo

2442

World #3

2266

Apr 2025

Highest Elo

2443

Apr 2025

Elo Comparison

Previous Encounters

0 (0%)

Won by Sora Kuma

4

Series against each other

4 (100%)

Won by Sebastian

History

2437 +6 2443

+2+2+2

3

vs.

0

73% - Prediction - 27%

Show Details

2266 −6 2260

−2−2−2

2402 −6 2396

+2+2+2−6−6

3

vs.

2

75% - Prediction - 25%

Show Details

2208 +6 2214

−2−2−2+6+6

Sebastian still lost points to Sora Kuma, because the victory was closer than expected.

2322 ±0 2322

+2+2+2−6

3

vs.

1

69% - Prediction - 31%

Show Details

2180 ±0 2180

−2−2−2+6

The result was exactly like expected, so no Elo changes.

2176 −4 2172

+5−3−3−3

1

vs.

3

32% - Prediction - 68%

Show Details

2306 +4 2310

−5+3+3+3

Win Probability

For a Single Game

24% for Sora Kuma

Based on a −197 Elo difference.

Sora Kuma would get +6 for each victory and lose −2 for each defeat.

76% for Sebastian

Based on a +197 Elo difference.

Sebastian would get +2 for each victory and lose −6 for each defeat.

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